Thursday, March 12, 2009

Double bubble

Who's on the bubble that should be in?

Here's my take:

South Carolina -- 10-6 in the weak SEC isn't all that impressive, and their nonconference slate is a tad weak. Beat #20 Baylor at the time, and kept it close with Clemson -- who bowed out of ACC tourney early. But did finish with 21-8 record, have Devan Downey as a playmaker who can get them to SEC title game.

Saint Mary's -- playing last half of conference schedule without leading scorer and favorite foreigner Patty Mills hurt -- making up 17 points a game was tough. Recovered to make a 6-game winning run before falling to Gonzaga in WCC finals. 25-6 record should be good enough to get them in the tournament, where they could make some noise against a team without a big man inside.

Baylor -- This team looks like a 2009 version of Georgia to me. Nineteen wins to 13 losses is pretty solid, but underachieved at 5-11 in Big 12 play. Could rely on Curtis Jerrells, LaceDarius Dunn and Kevin Rogers to get them into tournament -- have five guys that average double figures. If they can lock down on defense and hit their 3's, team has a chance to win in the next round against Texas. I like them to get to the conference title game, where they'll likely have to stop Blake Griffin to get into the Big Dance.

More on the bubbles popping and rising as we get later into the week.

No comments: